Injecting Certainty Into An Uncertain Process

Using Monte Carlo simulation to improve forecast processes

A Most (Un)Likely Case Scenario

Pitfalls of creating the most likely case scenario

Dispelling the Myth That My Company Is Too Small For Risk Modeling

Small companies can least afford a wrong decision

Monte Carlo applied to metrics in a direct cost income statement presentation

How Wide Is Your Company's Cone of Uncertainty?

A business has a cone of uncertainty too

The Anatomy of a Decision?

Using Bayesian mathematics to greatly improve management decision making.

Using Bayesian mathematics to look for surprises

Decision Making and an Introduction to Surprise via Commander Bayes

It is vital that appropriate tools are utilized in today’s uncertain economic environment